Keywords
Leather goods and footwear industry
Delphi methodology
structural analysis
game of actors
success factors. Sector cuero
calzado y marroquinería
metodología Delphi
análisis estructural
factores de éxito
Delphi methodology
structural analysis
game of actors
success factors. Sector cuero
calzado y marroquinería
metodología Delphi
análisis estructural
factores de éxito
How to Cite
Velásquez Restrépo, S. M., & Castro Corrales, J. (2013). Identification of Success Factors for the Leather and Footwear Industry in Colombia: Foresight study or application of foresight techniques. Informador Tecnico, 77(2). https://doi.org/10.23850/22565035.54
Abstract
Globalization has created complex dynamics that hinders organizational plan- ning; thereby, it is convenient to have reliable tools to reduce uncertainty about the future. This work presents a study based on Delphi methodology, structural analysis, and game of players to analyze success factors for the leather goods and footwear industry in Colombia for a five-year horizon, considering that all prospective analyses should be systemic and include interactions among the variables studied. Colombian and international experts from the leather goods and footwear industry, associations and academy were consulted, finding that personnel training, use of information and communication technology, and implementation of real organizational structures are the three key factors for the success of the leather goods and footwear industry. Using the results of the game of players, alternative scenarios were evaluated by grouping factors or eliminating those that are not dependent exclusively on the industry. No significant variations were found when factors were modified, but the study allows formulating recommendations for the development of the leather goods and footwear industry.References
ANDI. Industriales avanzan en competitividad. Las empresas se mueven para superar el mal momento. 2013 [en línea] Disponible en http://www.andi.com.co/pages/noticias/noticia _detalle.aspx?IdNews=389.
CÁMARA DE COMERCIO DE MEDELLÍN. Clúster Textil/confección Dise-o y Moda. 2012 [en línea] Disponible en http://www.camaramed.org.co/confeccion/datos-Generales.html.
DALKEY. N, and HELMET. O. An experimental application of the Delphi Method to the use of experts. En: Management science. Vol. 9. (1963), p. 458 - 467.
https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.9.3.458
Gupta, U. G. and Clarke, R. E. Theory and applications of the Delphi technique: A bibliography (1975–1994). En: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 53(2), (1996). p. 185-211.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0040-1625(96)00094-7
HSU, C. C. and BRIAN, S.A. The Delphi technique: Making sense of consensus. En: Practical Assessment Research and Practice, 12(10), 2007.
Linstone, H.A. and Turoff, M. Introduction. In H.A. Linstone and M. Turoff (Eds). The Delphi method: Techniques and applications 1975. pp. 102-123. Reading, MA: Addison Wesley Publishing Company.
MELÉNDEZ, M., URIBE, M.J., CASTRO, E. y GARCÍA, K. Eco estudio. Estudio caracterización económica nacional cadena productiva hacia un sistema moda. 2012. p. 36. [en línea] Disponible en http://observatorio.inexmoda.org.co/wpcontent/uploads/2012/08/CaracterizacioEconomica-Cadena-Productiva Nacional.pdf.
VANGUARDIA LIBERAL. Producción de calzado espera repunte tras caída de 8,4%. 2013. [en línea] Disponible en http://m.vanguardia.com/economia/local/218189-produccion-de-calzado-espera-repunte-tras-caida-de-84.
PORTER, A.L. Technology foresight: types and methods.In: Int. J. of Foresight and Innovation Policy, 2010. 6(1/2/3): 36-45.
https://doi.org/10.1504/ijfip.2010.032664
RÍOS, J.A. El calzado, el cuero y la marroquinería esperan repunte con feria internacional. En: diario La Opinión. 2013. [en línea] Disponible en (http://www.laopinion.com.co/demo/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=424008&I-temid=32).
SANTOS. C., ARAUJO, M. and CORREIRA, N. Exploring Inter-Relationships between Events to Identify Strategic Technological Competencies: A Combined Approach. World Academy of Science, Engineering and Technology. 2013.
Downloads
Download data is not yet available.
